Saturday, January 28, 2012

Significant lake effect snow event for Northern Herkimer & Hamilton Counties

After the initial snow-squall lines blows by this evening, the NAM has latched onto a band of heavy lake effect snow overnight into early Sunday:


Aside from the usual lake effect maximum in the Tug Hill, there is a stripe of heavy precipitation along an axis from Stillwater Reservoir to Long Lake and onto the High Peaks. The 0.75" inches of liquid equivalent around Stillwater Reservoir could easily produce snowfall over a foot in a lake effect event.

The NAM forecast sounding for overnight shows why:


This appears to be a tailor-made lake effect snow event for the northern third of Herkimer and Hamilton Counties. I'm puzzled as to why there are not yet any Lake Effect Snow Advisories/Warnings for the Adirondacks with this set-up.

Darrin

3 comments:

  1. What do you think Tupper will get?

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  2. Tupper is depressing.

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  3. Probably 3-6 inches in Tupper tonight.

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